šŸ³ Daily Recap: Crypto Bleeds Alongside TradFi

BTC falls to lowest price since November election, where do we go from here?

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What happened today?

Crypto traders woke up to a rough market this morning, seemingly due to a combination of nervous sentiment to start the year off and a significant correction in the traditional stock market. The good news on that front is not only has every dip in the S&P 500 been a buying opportunity since it launched, but drops in crypto prices attributed to weak stock market performance tend to be short term. When given the backdrop of Trump taking office in a week, I think this is likely the case once again. With US CPI coming out this week however, thereā€™s a chance we see a further decline in TradFi which would almost certainly lead to a correlated decline in crypto markets.

24 Hour Heatmap by Market Dominance, Source: CoinMarketCap

One major point of contention that weā€™ve seen resurface over the last few weeks is what the crypto community has dubbed ā€œOperation Chokepoint 2.0ā€ ā€“ with politicians like Cynthia Lummis now championing the investigation into allegedly illegal anti-crypto initiatives pushed by other politicians, hopefully we finally have some clarity on what really went down here. If you want to read more about Operation Chokepoint, check out Nic Carterā€™s thread here. What was once written off as wild conspiracy now has real evidence to back it up ā€” we can only hope it results in repercussions for those responsible.

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Last week we talked about how we were seeing higher-mcap alt-coins getting dumped, yet were still seeing strong volumes and price action across the AI agent sector. That changed over the weekend, however, as we saw the leaders of the sector $AI16Z and $VIRTUAL get absolutely eviscerated. Virtual currently sits about 50% off of its ATH which was reached only 2 weeks ago, representing hundreds of millions in market cap lost. The interesting thing about the Virtual ecosystem is that all agent coins launched on the platform have their liquidity pools denominated in $VIRTUAL ā€“ this means that when the price is going up, all coins within the ecosystem benefitā€¦ however the opposite is true when its price goes down.

We donā€™t yet own any $VIRTUAL in the Beluga wallet however this is an ecosystem Iā€™ve personally been trading within since the early days, and I think we are likely entering the bid zone at current prices (~$2.50 at time of writing). AI still dominates mindshare and given the up-only price action Virtuals saw for the last couple months, it was probably due for a correction. Admittedly this is stronger than I thought it would be, but assuming the market doesnā€™t die before Trump is in office this is likely where we see buyers step in.

Tweet of the Day

Tradfi guys are still calling BTC to $250k and youā€™re bearish?

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Will McKinnon is the Head of Content for Beluga and has spent every day for many years trading coins. For that reason there are too many to name, however his largest holdings by a significant margin are Ethereum and Bitcoin. NFA DYOR